NWU Business School

South Africa’s government is drowning in its own complexity

  • The South African government is becoming trapped within layers of accumulated complexity.
  • The government therefore appears simultaneously hyper-present and absent.
  • Complex systems create discretion and discretion creates power.
  • Economic success becomes tied less to productive capability and more to proximity to administrative systems.
  • The crisis no longer lies in the absence of rules or oversight, but in the growing burden of managing complexity itself
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Jobs under pressure as risks rise

The negative unemployment figures for the first quarter of 2026 are another early warning signal of the shock that the global energy crisis is beginning to have on the South African economy and jobs.

Prof. Raymond Parsons, economist from the North-West University (NWU) Business School, says that while the economy has some resilience and economic buffers, these buffers are limited and partial, with – for now – little room to extend them.

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Defending truth in an era of corruption and eroding trust

In the shadow of state capture, pervasive corruption, and eroding public trust, a vital line of defence remains: investigative journalism. In a recent panel discussion titled “Investigative Journalism in Defence of Democracy,” facilitated by the NWU Business School, columnist and analyst Khaya Sithole moderated a conversation with journalists Pauli van Wyk from Investec, Kyle Cowan from Media24, and Sikonathi Mantshantsha from News24 to unpack the difficult realities of holding power to account in South Africa.

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Inflation pressures build, but South Africa may avoid drastic policy moves

The slight rise in the March headline inflation was expected at this stage. Core inflation increased from 3,0% to 3,2%.

Prof. Raymond Parsons, economist from the North-West University (NWU) Business School, says the full impact of the global oil price shock, together with the higher fuel and Road Accident Fund levies, adjusted carbon taxes and higher Eskom tariffs implemented on 1 April will only be seen in subsequent months.

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Economic recovery in South Africa will likely be interrupted this year

As was expected, in the light of the prevailing elevated global economic uncertainties, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) has again left interest rates unchanged for now.

Prof. Raymond Parsons, economist from the North-West University (NWU) Business School, says the decision on 26 March is an inevitable further pause in the recent interest rate-easing cycle of the SARB.

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